Prompt
Help me work on the Assumption change scenario based on the goals and resources below. [input] Goals and usage situations: In a Assumption change scenario, you want to clear the block and decide on your next course of action. Resources to review: Baseline data and hypothetical changes Conditions and Constraints: Please proceed based on the provided data, and mark any missing facts as requiring confirmation. Previous attempts and records: This is my first attempt. Please proceed from the parts that can be confirmed in the current data. [Key points to check in this topic] Specify changing and fixed variables and use the results as conditional calculations rather than predictions. [Results to be created this time] Organize exposure factors, occurrence conditions, effects, and observation indicators based on data. Distinguish between possibility and fact, and don't embellish with numbers if you don't know the probability. Please leave judgment criteria and additional investigation items to reduce risk. [Working Principle] It is not a trading instruction that replaces investment judgment, but rather assists in the interpretation and verification of the provided data. Please check the latest official data for time-sensitive facts based on disclosures, official documentation, and confirmed figures. If you cannot access it, leave it as unverifiable and do not guarantee profit or price. If there is no input that will change the results, ask only the necessary questions first and proceed with the parts that can be confirmed with data. [Completion criteria] Make sure that each risk is accompanied by evidence, counterexamples, and uncertainty. Distinguish between the basis for the outcome, remaining uncertainties, and next actions, and mark only what has actually been confirmed as complete.